SPY closed at $748.28, less than a point off its 90d high, while gold printed $378.13 – a strong move from last week’s lows suggests risk appetite is holding. The 10-year yield sits at 4.63%, firm but not challenging recent highs. This backdrop favors continued tech outperformance as earnings season unfolds.
Health Care (XLV) leads early, +1.8% in the last five sessions — a clear divergence from the lagging discretionary sector (XLY). This suggests rotation into defensive growth amid ongoing earnings uncertainty, and XLV/SPY ratio is hitting new highs. Energy (XLE), however, remains buoyant despite flat crude, hinting at accumulation ahead of tonight’s inventory data.
We're watching SBUX (earnings tonight – consumer read-through), FTNT (broke $160 last week — momentum follow-through), and ABNB (sector laggard - earnings reaction). Also, MO (testing resistance — potential breakout) and V (holding key support at $349.12.)
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