Heading into today’s open, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) closed yesterday at $717.67, up 0.96%, while the SPY gained 0.69% to finish at $773.17. With the 10-Year Treasury Yield currently at 4.76%, persistent energy strength is coinciding with a flight to safety as evidenced by recent yield movements and a VIX at 14.18 (ranging yesterday from 14.13-14.18).
This week we’re leaning into Energy (XLE), Healthcare/Defensive (XLV), and Gold (GLD) as our core sector picks. XLE stands out with +11.1% one-month momentum, trading above its 50-day trend and benefitting from a macro environment favoring commodities. We also favor XLV, showing +5.4% momentum and exceeding its 50-day moving average — offering defensive positioning. Finally, GLD’s +5.3% monthly gain suggests continued demand for safe haven assets amid ongoing global uncertainty.
Last week’s sectors saw varied performance: Materials (XLB) returned -1.8%, Technology (XLK) gained 0.7%, and Real Estate (VNQ) posted a loss of -2.3%. The underperformance of XLB and VNQ signals potential shifts in market sentiment, while the modest gain in XLK highlights persistent strength in select tech areas.
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