QQQ finished at $729.44, flirting with its 90-day high, while SPY closed down slightly at $749.84. The 10-year Treasury yield is steady at 4.50% — a week after peaking, suggesting the bond market is pricing in a pause, and VIX remains subdued at 16.77, well within its recent 16-35 range. This calm is notable given the earnings flow this week, and suggests risk appetite remains elevated despite the lack of major macro catalysts.
Technology (XLK +1.2% 5d) and Energy (XLE +2.8% 5d) are showing the clearest momentum. XLK benefits from the AI narrative and the ongoing accumulation in semis, while XLE is bolstered by crude stability and anticipation of the OPEC meeting. This pairing is interesting – a risk-on/value dynamic playing out simultaneously, suggesting breadth beyond just growth.
We're watching FSLR (earnings tonight — solar demand update), NXPI (broke $220 last week — breakout confirmation), SEZL (earnings tonight — buy now/pay later trends), and STX (sector leader — potential earnings momentum).
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